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Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision? — SakiCast — SakiCast

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Event

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?

Good DataHigh confidence

Events/Forecast details

Volume:$17.2K

Liquidity:$7.8K

Trades end:1 week, Feb 23, 2026

A) Standard Forecast

Estimated probability based on market data and a smoothing signal.

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YES

**.*%

YESNO

C) Verify & Trade

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Premium Forecast👑

Enhanced ML-powered prediction with momentum and trend analysis.

Premium Forecast

⭐PRO📊Standard Premium

High confidence

Premium YES

⭐PRO

10%

Premium NO

⭐PRO

90%

Market YES

Difference

+2.4 pp

ML Indicators

Momentum

Bearish

Trend Velocity

-0.05%

Volatility

0.2%

Confidence Weight

99%

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Momentum indicator: -0.13 pp/period
Trend velocity: -0.045 pp/period
Trend acceleration: -0.45 pp/period²
Mean reversion: +3.40 pp
RSI: 0 (oversold)
MACD: neutral
Regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: +0.97 pp
Technical weight: 50% (Pro enhanced)

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Forecast Comparison

See how premium predictions differ from standard.

Standard

Difference

+1.9 pp

👑Premium

10%

B) Market check

Compare the market-implied YES probability vs SakiCast.

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Market implied (YES)

**.*%

SakiCast (YES)

**.*%

Difference

**.*pp

More detail (chart + model inputs + methodology)

Probability history

Line chart of estimated YES probability over time.

Model inputs

Simplified factors used in this forecast.

EMA signal: 8.7% YES
Rolling-average (SMA): 7.7% YES
Trend bias: -0.5 percentage points
Volatility weighting: 99%
RSI: 0 (oversold)
MACD: neutral
Market regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: +1.0pp

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Signals across different time windows for a more robust view.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

7.7% composite

Consistency

Strong

100%

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?

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How This Forecast Works