Weather
7
Weather
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
$143.1K
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Weather
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
$58.5K
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Tech
12
Tech
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
$83.2K
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Tech
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
$64.4K
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Crypto
22
Crypto
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
$721.3K
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Crypto
Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?
$22.9K
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Business
11
Business
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
$30.0K
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Business
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
$821
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
Unverified
Culture
5
Culture
Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?
$11.9K•1 day, Feb 15, 2026
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Culture
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?
$8.0K•3 days, Feb 17, 2026
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Politics
11
Politics
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
$1.1M
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Politics
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
$168.1K
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Sports
2
Sports
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$200.8K•2 months, Apr 12, 2026
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Sports
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
$7.1K•2 months, Apr 20, 2026
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Other
30
Other
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
$104.0K
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
Other
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
$277.6K
YES probability
**.*%
NO probability
**.*%
High confidence
