SakiCast
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SakiCast provides informational probability estimates only. Not financial or trading advice.
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How SakiCast Works

SakiCast is a forecast aggregator and analytics tool that generates independent probability estimates for prediction market events.

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Important Notice

SakiCast is an informational tool only. We do not facilitate, execute, or recommend any trades or bets. Our forecasts are estimates based on historical data and should not be construed as financial advice. Always do your own research and only risk what you can afford to lose.

📈Our Track Record

We track every prediction we make and compare it against actual outcomes. View our full accuracy dashboard for detailed analysis.

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500
Total Predictions
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0.000
Excellent
Brier Score
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100%
Directional Accuracy
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-0.0%
Edge Over Market

🔍What SakiCast Does

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Aggregate Markets

We pull real-time data from prediction markets like Polymarket.

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Generate Forecasts

Our algorithm produces independent probability estimates separate from market prices.

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Track Accuracy

Every prediction is logged and verified against outcomes for full transparency.

📡Data Sources

We currently integrate with the following prediction markets:

✅ Polymarket🔜 Kalshi (planned)🔜 PredictIt (planned)

🧪Forecast Methodology

SakiCast generates forecasts using a rules-based algorithm that analyzes market data:

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    Rolling Average — Smoothed probability signal over recent data points to reduce noise
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    Trend Analysis — Detects momentum and direction of probability movement
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    Volatility Weighting — Adjusts confidence based on price stability
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    Time Decay — Increases weight of recent data as events approach resolution

🎚️Confidence Levels

Each forecast includes a confidence rating based on data quality and volatility:

High Confidence

Low volatility, consistent trend, sufficient data history

Medium Confidence

Moderate volatility or limited data points

Low Confidence

High volatility, new market, or insufficient data

📜Disclaimers

Not Financial Advice: SakiCast provides informational content only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.

No Guarantees: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Forecasts are estimates and may be wrong.

Verify Independently: Always verify data on the original prediction market before making any trading decisions.

Risk Warning: Trading on prediction markets involves significant risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Ready to explore?

Check out our forecasts and see how we compare to market prices.

View ForecastsSee Accuracy
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