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Will Chelsea finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? — SakiCast — SakiCast

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Event

Will Chelsea finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Limited DataHigh confidence

Events/Forecast details

Volume:$2.2K

Liquidity:$6.5K

Trades end:3 months, May 27, 2026

Low trading volume ($2.2K)

A) Standard Forecast

Estimated probability based on market data and a smoothing signal.

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YES

**.*%

YESNO

C) Verify & Trade

External link. SakiCast does not handle trading.

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Always verify data on the original market before making decisions. SakiCast provides estimates only.

Enhanced Forecast🤖

News sentiment-enhanced prediction with market analysis.

Enhanced Forecast

⭐PRO📊Neutral

High confidence

🤖

News AnalysisNo adjustment

The news articles do not provide significant information to directly impact the probability of Chelsea finishing in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League

•Most articles are general previews or guides to the Premier League season
•Only one article mentions Chelsea in the context of Champions League knockout stage permutations, which does not directly relate to their Premier League standing
•No articles provide specific analysis or predictions about Chelsea's chances of finishing in 3rd place

Enhanced YES

⭐PRO

17%

Enhanced NO

⭐PRO

83%

Market YES

16%

Difference

+1.1 pp

ML Indicators

Momentum

Bearish

Trend Velocity

0.09%

Volatility

0.6%

Confidence

60%

View enhanced analysis factors →

Momentum indicator: -0.13 pp/period
Trend velocity: +0.091 pp/period
Trend acceleration: +1.91 pp/period²
Mean reversion: +2.79 pp
RSI: 57 (neutral)
MACD: neutral
Regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: -0.01 pp
Technical weight: 50% (Pro enhanced)
Sentiment: neutral (60% confidence)
News Impact: low
Adjustment: No adjustment

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Forecast Comparison

See how premium predictions differ from standard.

Standard

16%

Difference

+0.6 pp

👑Premium

17%

B) Market check

Compare the market-implied YES probability vs SakiCast.

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Market implied (YES)

**.*%

SakiCast (YES)

**.*%

Difference

**.*pp

More detail (chart + model inputs + methodology)

Probability history

Line chart of estimated YES probability over time.

Model inputs

Simplified factors used in this forecast.

EMA signal: 15.3% YES
Rolling-average (SMA): 15.5% YES
Trend bias: 1.5 percentage points
Volatility weighting: 98%
RSI: 57 (neutral)
MACD: neutral
Market regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: -0.0pp

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Signals across different time windows for a more robust view.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

15.4% composite

Consistency

Strong

89%

Will Chelsea finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Enhanced Forecast

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How This Forecast Works