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Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 13? — SakiCast — SakiCast

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Event

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 13?

Good DataHigh confidence

Events/Forecast details

Volume:$132.8K

Liquidity:$15.8K

Trades end:3 hours, Feb 13, 2026

A) Standard Forecast

Estimated probability based on market data and a smoothing signal.

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YES

**.*%

YESNO

C) Verify & Trade

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Always verify data on the original market before making decisions. SakiCast provides estimates only.

Enhanced Forecast🤖

News sentiment-enhanced prediction with market analysis.

Enhanced Forecast

⭐PRO📉Bearish Signal

High confidence

🤖

News Analysis-1.8pp from news

Recent news articles suggest a downward trend in Ethereum's price, potentially affecting the probability of it being above $1,800 on February 13

•Ethereum has fallen below $1,800 recently, as reported by theindianpanorama.news
•Support levels for major altcoins, including Ethereum, are crumbling, according to Bitget
•Some analysts see Ethereum bottoming below $1,800, as stated by CoinDesk

Enhanced YES

⭐PRO

95%

Enhanced NO

⭐PRO

Market YES

>99%

Difference

−3.9 pp

ML Indicators

Momentum

Bullish

Trend Velocity

-0.01%

Volatility

0.2%

Confidence

60%

View enhanced analysis factors →

Momentum indicator: +0.03 pp/period
Trend velocity: -0.014 pp/period
Trend acceleration: +0.11 pp/period²
Mean reversion: -3.93 pp
RSI: 58 (neutral)
MACD: neutral
Regime: mean reverting
Technical adjustment: -0.00 pp
Technical weight: 50% (Pro enhanced)
Sentiment: bearish (60% confidence)
News Impact: medium
Adjustment: -1.8pp from news

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Forecast Comparison

See how premium predictions differ from standard.

Standard

>99%

Difference

−1.9 pp

👑Premium

97%

B) Market check

Compare the market-implied YES probability vs SakiCast.

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Market implied (YES)

**.*%

SakiCast (YES)

**.*%

Difference

**.*pp

More detail (chart + model inputs + methodology)

Probability history

Line chart of estimated YES probability over time.

Model inputs

Simplified factors used in this forecast.

EMA signal: 99.1% YES
Rolling-average (SMA): 99.1% YES
Trend bias: -0.3 percentage points
Volatility weighting: 100%
RSI: 58 (neutral)
MACD: neutral
Market regime: mean reverting
Technical adjustment: -0.0pp

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Signals across different time windows for a more robust view.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

99.1% composite

Consistency

Strong

89%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 13?

Enhanced Forecast

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How This Forecast Works