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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 14? — SakiCast — SakiCast

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Event

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 14?

Good DataHigh confidence

Events/Forecast details

Volume:$12.0K

Liquidity:$16.3K

Trades end:1 day, Feb 14, 2026

A) Standard Forecast

Estimated probability based on market data and a smoothing signal.

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YES

**.*%

YESNO

C) Verify & Trade

External link. SakiCast does not handle trading.

Open on Polymarket ↗

Always verify data on the original market before making decisions. SakiCast provides estimates only.

Enhanced Forecast🤖

News sentiment-enhanced prediction with market analysis.

Enhanced Forecast

⭐PRO📊Neutral

High confidence

🤖

News AnalysisNo adjustment

Recent news articles indicate a mix of bearish and bullish trends for Ethereum's price, making it uncertain whether it will be above $2,400 on February 14

•Ethereum's price slid to $2,400, suggesting a potential downturn
•ETH ETFs saw inflows after a dip, indicating potential buying interest
•Polymarket's betting odds and predictions suggest ongoing speculation about Ethereum's price

Enhanced YES

⭐PRO

Enhanced NO

⭐PRO

97%

Market YES

<1%

Difference

+2.5 pp

ML Indicators

Momentum

Neutral

Trend Velocity

0.00%

Volatility

0.0%

Confidence

60%

View enhanced analysis factors →

Momentum indicator: 0.00 pp/period
Trend velocity: 0.000 pp/period
Trend acceleration: +0.05 pp/period²
Mean reversion: +3.99 pp
RSI: 0 (oversold)
MACD: neutral
Regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: +1.12 pp
Technical weight: 50% (Pro enhanced)
Sentiment: mixed (60% confidence)
News Impact: medium
Adjustment: No adjustment

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Forecast Comparison

See how premium predictions differ from standard.

Standard

<1%

Difference

+2.1 pp

👑Premium

B) Market check

Compare the market-implied YES probability vs SakiCast.

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Market implied (YES)

**.*%

SakiCast (YES)

**.*%

Difference

**.*pp

More detail (chart + model inputs + methodology)

Probability history

Line chart of estimated YES probability over time.

Model inputs

Simplified factors used in this forecast.

EMA signal: 1.3% YES
Rolling-average (SMA): 0.2% YES
Trend bias: 0.0 percentage points
Volatility weighting: 100%
RSI: 0 (oversold)
MACD: neutral
Market regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: +1.1pp

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Signals across different time windows for a more robust view.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

0.2% composite

Consistency

Strong

100%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 14?

Enhanced Forecast

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How This Forecast Works