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Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 17? — SakiCast — SakiCast

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Event

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 17?

Good DataHigh confidence

Events/Forecast details

Volume:$12.9K

Liquidity:$14.5K

Trades end:4 days, Feb 17, 2026

A) Standard Forecast

Estimated probability based on market data and a smoothing signal.

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YES

**.*%

YESNO

C) Verify & Trade

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Always verify data on the original market before making decisions. SakiCast provides estimates only.

Enhanced Forecast🤖

News sentiment-enhanced prediction with market analysis.

Enhanced Forecast

⭐PRO📉Bearish Signal

High confidence

🤖

News Analysis-1.8pp from news

Recent news articles suggest a potential decline in Ethereum's price, which could affect the probability of it being above $1,500 on February 17.

•Ethereum price warning: $1,500 risk appears as a bullish metric drops 90%
•Ethereum price drops below $2K, sparking accumulation among holders
•Ethereum price rebounds 23%, but $1,000 risk still looms

Enhanced YES

⭐PRO

94%

Enhanced NO

⭐PRO

Market YES

99%

Difference

−4.3 pp

ML Indicators

Momentum

Neutral

Trend Velocity

0.00%

Volatility

0.1%

Confidence

60%

View enhanced analysis factors →

Momentum indicator: 0.00 pp/period
Trend velocity: +0.005 pp/period
Trend acceleration: +0.05 pp/period²
Mean reversion: -3.90 pp
RSI: 100 (overbought)
MACD: neutral
Regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: -1.10 pp
Technical weight: 50% (Pro enhanced)
Sentiment: bearish (60% confidence)
News Impact: medium
Adjustment: -1.8pp from news

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Forecast Comparison

See how premium predictions differ from standard.

Standard

98%

Difference

−2.1 pp

👑Premium

96%

B) Market check

Compare the market-implied YES probability vs SakiCast.

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Market implied (YES)

**.*%

SakiCast (YES)

**.*%

Difference

**.*pp

More detail (chart + model inputs + methodology)

Probability history

Line chart of estimated YES probability over time.

Model inputs

Simplified factors used in this forecast.

EMA signal: 97.7% YES
Rolling-average (SMA): 98.8% YES
Trend bias: 0.0 percentage points
Volatility weighting: 100%
RSI: 100 (overbought)
MACD: neutral
Market regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: -1.1pp

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Signals across different time windows for a more robust view.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

98.8% composite

Consistency

Strong

100%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 17?

Enhanced Forecast

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How This Forecast Works