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Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? — SakiCast — SakiCast

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Event

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Good DataHigh confidence

Events/Forecast details

Volume:$83.2K

Liquidity:$6.1K

Trades end:Unknown

Resolution date unknown

A) Standard Forecast

Estimated probability based on market data and a smoothing signal.

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YES

**.*%

YESNO

C) Verify & Trade

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Enhanced Forecast🤖

News sentiment-enhanced prediction with market analysis.

Enhanced Forecast

⭐PRO📊Neutral

High confidence

🤖

News AnalysisNo adjustment

Recent news articles provide some insights into the development of AI models but do not directly confirm or deny the release of GPT-6 by March 31, 2026

•OpenAI's introduction of GPT-5.3-Codex suggests ongoing development and improvement of their models
•The introduction of Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 indicates competition and advancements in the field
•Sam Altman's plan for 2026, as reported by The Neuron, may imply significant developments but lacks specific details on GPT-6

Enhanced YES

⭐PRO

Enhanced NO

⭐PRO

92%

Market YES

Difference

+1.8 pp

ML Indicators

Momentum

Neutral

Trend Velocity

-0.00%

Volatility

0.3%

Confidence

60%

View enhanced analysis factors →

Momentum indicator: 0.00 pp/period
Trend velocity: -0.005 pp/period
Trend acceleration: -0.25 pp/period²
Mean reversion: +3.49 pp
RSI: 50 (neutral)
MACD: neutral
Regime: mean reverting
Technical adjustment: +0.00 pp
Technical weight: 50% (Pro enhanced)
Sentiment: neutral (60% confidence)
News Impact: medium
Adjustment: No adjustment

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Forecast Comparison

See how premium predictions differ from standard.

Standard

Difference

+1.8 pp

👑Premium

B) Market check

Compare the market-implied YES probability vs SakiCast.

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Market implied (YES)

**.*%

SakiCast (YES)

**.*%

Difference

**.*pp

More detail (chart + model inputs + methodology)

Probability history

Line chart of estimated YES probability over time.

Model inputs

Simplified factors used in this forecast.

EMA signal: 6.4% YES
Rolling-average (SMA): 6.3% YES
Trend bias: -0.1 percentage points
Volatility weighting: 100%
RSI: 50 (neutral)
MACD: neutral
Market regime: mean reverting
Technical adjustment: +0.0pp

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Signals across different time windows for a more robust view.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

6.4% composite

Consistency

Strong

100%

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Enhanced Forecast

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How This Forecast Works