SakiCast

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Fight to Go the Distance? — SakiCast — SakiCast

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Event

Fight to Go the Distance?

Insufficient Data

Events/Forecast details

Volume:$5

Liquidity:$291

Trades end:1 week, Feb 22, 2026

Very low trading volume ($5)

A) Standard Forecast

Estimated probability based on market data and a smoothing signal.

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YES

**.*%

YESNO

C) Verify & Trade

External link. SakiCast does not handle trading.

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Always verify data on the original market before making decisions. SakiCast provides estimates only.

Enhanced Forecast🤖

News sentiment-enhanced prediction with market analysis.

Enhanced Forecast

⭐PRO📊Neutral

High confidence

🤖

News AnalysisNo adjustment

The news articles provide general information about various fights and betting guides, but do not offer significant insights that would directly impact the probability of the market resolving YES.

•Most articles discuss specific fights or provide general betting guides, without focusing on the market question.
•Only one article mentions a fight not going the distance, but it is from a different event and does not directly relate to the market question.
•The remaining articles either discuss fights that went the distance or provide betting odds and predictions without clear relevance to the market question.

Enhanced YES

⭐PRO

65%

Enhanced NO

⭐PRO

35%

Market YES

66%

Difference

−0.6 pp

ML Indicators

Momentum

Neutral

Trend Velocity

0.00%

Volatility

0.0%

Confidence

60%

View enhanced analysis factors →

Momentum indicator: 0.00 pp/period
Trend velocity: 0.000 pp/period
Trend acceleration: 0.00 pp/period²
Mean reversion: -1.28 pp
RSI: 50 (neutral)
MACD: neutral
Regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: -0.00 pp
Technical weight: 50% (Pro enhanced)
Sentiment: neutral (60% confidence)
News Impact: low
Adjustment: No adjustment

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Forecast Comparison

See how premium predictions differ from standard.

Standard

66%

Difference

−0.6 pp

👑Premium

65%

B) Market check

Compare the market-implied YES probability vs SakiCast.

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Market implied (YES)

**.*%

SakiCast (YES)

**.*%

Difference

**.*pp

More detail (chart + model inputs + methodology)

Probability history

Line chart of estimated YES probability over time.

Model inputs

Simplified factors used in this forecast.

EMA signal: 66.0% YES
Rolling-average (SMA): 66.0% YES
Trend bias: 0.0 percentage points
Volatility weighting: 100%
RSI: 50 (neutral)
MACD: neutral
Market regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: -0.0pp

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Signals across different time windows for a more robust view.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

66.0% composite

Consistency

Strong

100%

Fight to Go the Distance?

Enhanced Forecast

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How This Forecast Works