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Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? — SakiCast — SakiCast

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Event

Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?

Good DataHigh confidence

Events/Forecast details

Volume:$19.3K

Liquidity:$5.1K

Trades end:2 weeks, Feb 28, 2026

A) Standard Forecast

Estimated probability based on market data and a smoothing signal.

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YES

**.*%

YESNO

C) Verify & Trade

External link. SakiCast does not handle trading.

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Always verify data on the original market before making decisions. SakiCast provides estimates only.

Enhanced Forecast🤖

News sentiment-enhanced prediction with market analysis.

Enhanced Forecast

⭐PRO📈Bullish Signal

High confidence

🤖

News Analysis+4.0pp from news

Recent news articles collectively suggest a high likelihood of Apple announcing the iPhone 17e by February 28, boosting the probability of the market resolving YES

•Multiple reputable sources report an imminent iPhone unveiling
•Specific mentions of the iPhone 17e in recent reports increase confidence in its announcement
•Timeframes mentioned in the articles align with the market question's deadline

Enhanced YES

⭐PRO

72%

Enhanced NO

⭐PRO

28%

Market YES

69%

Difference

+3.2 pp

ML Indicators

Momentum

Neutral

Trend Velocity

-0.05%

Volatility

0.2%

Confidence

80%

View enhanced analysis factors →

Momentum indicator: 0.00 pp/period
Trend velocity: -0.045 pp/period
Trend acceleration: -0.95 pp/period²
Mean reversion: -1.54 pp
RSI: 0 (oversold)
MACD: neutral
Regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: -0.42 pp
Technical weight: 50% (Pro enhanced)
Sentiment: bullish (80% confidence)
News Impact: high
Adjustment: +4.0pp from news

🔐

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Forecast Comparison

See how premium predictions differ from standard.

Standard

69%

Difference

−0.5 pp

👑Premium

68%

B) Market check

Compare the market-implied YES probability vs SakiCast.

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Market implied (YES)

**.*%

SakiCast (YES)

**.*%

Difference

**.*pp

More detail (chart + model inputs + methodology)

Probability history

Line chart of estimated YES probability over time.

Model inputs

Simplified factors used in this forecast.

EMA signal: 68.7% YES
Rolling-average (SMA): 69.0% YES
Trend bias: -0.5 percentage points
Volatility weighting: 99%
RSI: 0 (oversold)
MACD: neutral
Market regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: -0.4pp

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Signals across different time windows for a more robust view.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

69.1% composite

Consistency

Strong

90%

Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?

Enhanced Forecast

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How This Forecast Works