SakiCast

A) Forecast

Loading forecast data...

C) Next step

B) Market check

Loading market comparison...

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16? — SakiCast — SakiCast

←Back to forecasts

Event

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?

Good DataHigh confidence

Events/Forecast details

Volume:$62.9K

Liquidity:$11.7K

Trades end:4 days, Feb 17, 2026

A) Standard Forecast

Estimated probability based on market data and a smoothing signal.

Create a free account to unlock full forecast details

YES

**.*%

YESNO

C) Verify & Trade

External link. SakiCast does not handle trading.

Open on Polymarket ↗

Always verify data on the original market before making decisions. SakiCast provides estimates only.

Enhanced Forecast🤖

News sentiment-enhanced prediction with market analysis.

Enhanced Forecast

⭐PRO📊Neutral

High confidence

🤖

News AnalysisNo adjustment

The news articles do not provide any direct indication of Microstrategy's plans to announce a Bitcoin purchase between February 10-16

•Most articles are outdated and do not provide recent information
•None of the articles mention a potential purchase in the specified time frame
•The articles primarily discuss past purchases or holdings, without hinting at future plans

Enhanced YES

⭐PRO

21%

Enhanced NO

⭐PRO

79%

Market YES

20%

Difference

+1.9 pp

ML Indicators

Momentum

Neutral

Trend Velocity

0.14%

Volatility

1.1%

Confidence

60%

View enhanced analysis factors →

Momentum indicator: 0.00 pp/period
Trend velocity: +0.136 pp/period
Trend acceleration: -0.14 pp/period²
Mean reversion: +2.35 pp
RSI: 100 (overbought)
MACD: neutral
Regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: +0.67 pp
Technical weight: 50% (Pro enhanced)
Sentiment: neutral (60% confidence)
News Impact: low
Adjustment: No adjustment

🔐

Sign In Required

Forecast Comparison

See how premium predictions differ from standard.

Standard

20%

Difference

+1.7 pp

👑Premium

21%

B) Market check

Compare the market-implied YES probability vs SakiCast.

Create a free account to unlock full forecast details

Market implied (YES)

**.*%

SakiCast (YES)

**.*%

Difference

**.*pp

More detail (chart + model inputs + methodology)

Probability history

Line chart of estimated YES probability over time.

Model inputs

Simplified factors used in this forecast.

EMA signal: 19.9% YES
Rolling-average (SMA): 19.5% YES
Trend bias: 0.0 percentage points
Volatility weighting: 98%
RSI: 100 (overbought)
MACD: neutral
Market regime: choppy
Technical adjustment: +0.7pp

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Signals across different time windows for a more robust view.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

19.3% composite

Consistency

Moderate

79%

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?

Enhanced Forecast

Sign In Required

How This Forecast Works