SakiCast

A) Forecast

Loading forecast data...

C) Next step

B) Market check

Loading market comparison...

Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 13? — SakiCast — SakiCast

←Back to forecasts

Event

Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 13?

Good DataHigh confidence

Events/Forecast details

Volume:$67.0K

Liquidity:$28.6K

Trades end:3 hours, Feb 13, 2026

A) Standard Forecast

Estimated probability based on market data and a smoothing signal.

Create a free account to unlock full forecast details

YES

**.*%

YESNO

C) Verify & Trade

External link. SakiCast does not handle trading.

Open on Polymarket ↗

Always verify data on the original market before making decisions. SakiCast provides estimates only.

Enhanced Forecast🤖

News sentiment-enhanced prediction with market analysis.

Enhanced Forecast

⭐PRO📉Bearish Signal

High confidence

🤖

News Analysis-1.8pp from news

Recent news articles suggest a decline in XRP price, potentially affecting its ability to stay above $1.00 on February 13

•XRP has weakened at the $1.35 support level
•A recent article mentions XRP crashing to its lowest since Trump's election win, potentially sliding further to $1.00
•Other articles discuss unrelated or less directly impactful topics

Enhanced YES

⭐PRO

96%

Enhanced NO

⭐PRO

Market YES

>99%

Difference

−3.8 pp

ML Indicators

Momentum

Neutral

Trend Velocity

0.01%

Volatility

0.0%

Confidence

60%

View enhanced analysis factors →

Momentum indicator: 0.00 pp/period
Trend velocity: +0.009 pp/period
Trend acceleration: +0.19 pp/period²
Mean reversion: -3.99 pp
RSI: 50 (neutral)
MACD: neutral
Regime: mean reverting
Technical adjustment: +0.00 pp
Technical weight: 50% (Pro enhanced)
Sentiment: bearish (60% confidence)
News Impact: medium
Adjustment: -1.8pp from news

🔐

Sign In Required

Forecast Comparison

See how premium predictions differ from standard.

Standard

>99%

Difference

−2.0 pp

👑Premium

98%

B) Market check

Compare the market-implied YES probability vs SakiCast.

Create a free account to unlock full forecast details

Market implied (YES)

**.*%

SakiCast (YES)

**.*%

Difference

**.*pp

More detail (chart + model inputs + methodology)

Probability history

Line chart of estimated YES probability over time.

Model inputs

Simplified factors used in this forecast.

EMA signal: 99.9% YES
Rolling-average (SMA): 99.9% YES
Trend bias: 0.1 percentage points
Volatility weighting: 100%
RSI: 50 (neutral)
MACD: neutral
Market regime: mean reverting
Technical adjustment: +0.0pp

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Signals across different time windows for a more robust view.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

99.9% composite

Consistency

Strong

100%

Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 13?

Enhanced Forecast

Sign In Required

How This Forecast Works